interest only rate

The that interest rates are not the direct responsibility of politicians and this blog believes it. What the public being convinced on is that union influence and wages are. They are not only being told this by the government in its attack on union affect in the Labor front bench. Labor itself is also feeding this line with its ill-advised strategy of turning Howard’s Workchoices that business has little interest in into a major overhaul of the industrial landscape (with more to come). It doesn’t take too much for the coalition to alter the link between wages inflation and interest rates and to furnish some resonance to the idea that that they may not have much enjoin control but they are doing the best they can by keeping a lid on the unions. To those voters that care about it the argument that the rate rise will be more helpful for the coalition than Labor is credible.

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For the sixth straight time since his re-election in 2004 lending interest rates in Australia have increased. This is despite Johnny Howard's side of politics claiming for ages that under their stewardship interest rates will ALWAYS be at record lows. Fat chance of that assertion having any credibility now! Not that there was much to begin with. But today. Mr Eyebrows himself has felt the need to apologise to all Aussie voters who hurt because of this morning's interest rate increase. No hesitation there at all.. he just took it on himself to say "Sorry". Interest rates are no more under any government's control today anymore than what today's generation of Australians had to do with the episode and other hurts caused to Indigenous Australians in years gone by. However in relation to the latter issue Howard has persistently refused to say "Sorry" despite a major groundswell of support in the Australian population who want reconciliation to happen. About 400,000 people from all backgrounds walked across the Sydney Harbour Bridge in a hugely symbolic gesture in 2000 of wanting to build a bridge to close the gap between black and non-black Australia. There are many of us on Vox who were there at that walk and other similar shows of support across Australia. Howard was nowhere to be seen. Instead of "Sorry" he merely offered his "regrets" for the past. about the economy therefore saying "Sorry" because today's interest rate hike is seen as being more important over everything else, then by voting them back in on November 24 says something about our lack of humanity degradation of our moral compass and Australians just being completely one-dimensional as a people without any hope of redemption. In my heart of hearts, despite how hard-arsed Aussies can sometimes be (because most of us just are). I do not believe we are one-dimensional and definitely not beyond redemption. Johnny Howard's "Sorry" today completely offended me because he keeps claiming to govern for all Australians. By choosing money over our own people - the original people of this land - he has offended not only me but I daresay millions of fair-minded Aussies who still live by the "Fair Go" ethos. No matter how he spins his apology today to me he's done irreparable damage. He chose the right word to use on the wrong occasion placing his apology in an entirely incongruous context within our national psyche. He's basically fucked up again. Sorry John if you have been listening and watching us closely you'd have known and understood that governing a country like our's ISN'T JUST ABOUT THE ECONOMY stupid! I watched the debate between Joe Hockey and Julia Gillard today. Ithought Hockey would have done better but he was bordering onpathetic. He read from his notes and lost his place a few times. Gillard beat him hands down. After telling us how much realwages had supposedly increased under Workchoices now he and Howard aretelling us what a marvelous job Workchoices has done in keeping wagesdown. The "Going for Growth" campaign slogan was carefullyhidden by an Australian flag when Howard responded to the interest raterise. They are starting to paint themselves into all sorts of corners eg targeting 3% jobs rate when the interest rate rise will slow the economy and increase unemployment.. For all that they still rate higher thanLabor as economic managers in the polls. There was an economicsprofessor on the 7.30 report tonight who made the interesting pointthat home mortgage repayments as a percentage of income are 5 timeshigher under Howard than they were under Keating. So much for theeconomic managers BS. Of course it was all BS. The interest rate issue was always nonsense but I hope that those people who voted them back in 2004 are now having a good look at themselves... I sure hope they're hurting from the rate rise. That'd be the best anti-Howard vaccine this country could hope for. What a one-trick pony this government is.. and that trick is starting to look wonkier by the day.

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For the sixth straight time since his re-election in 2004 lending interest rates in Australia have increased. This is despite Johnny Howard's side of politics claiming for ages that under their stewardship interest rates will ALWAYS be at record lows. Fat chance of that assertion having any credibility now! Not that there was much to begin with. But today. Mr Eyebrows himself has felt the need to apologise to all Aussie voters who hurt because of this morning's interest rate increase. No hesitation there at all.. he just took it on himself to say "Sorry". Interest rates are no more under any government's control today anymore than what today's generation of Australians had to do with the episode and other hurts caused to Indigenous Australians in years gone by. However in relation to the latter issue Howard has persistently refused to say "Sorry" despite a major groundswell of support in the Australian population who want reconciliation to happen. About 400,000 people from all backgrounds walked across the Sydney Harbour Bridge in a hugely symbolic gesture in 2000 of wanting to build a bridge to close the gap between black and non-black Australia. There are many of us on Vox who were there at that walk and other similar shows of support across Australia. Howard was nowhere to be seen. Instead of "Sorry" he merely offered his "regrets" for the past. about the economy therefore saying "Sorry" because today's interest rate hike is seen as being more important over everything else, then by voting them back in on November 24 says something about our lack of humanity degradation of our moral compass and Australians just being completely one-dimensional as a people without any hope of redemption. In my heart of hearts, despite how hard-arsed Aussies can sometimes be (because most of us just are). I do not believe we are one-dimensional and definitely not beyond redemption. Johnny Howard's "Sorry" today completely offended me because he keeps claiming to govern for all Australians. By choosing money over our own people - the original people of this land - he has offended not only me but I daresay millions of fair-minded Aussies who still live by the "Fair Go" ethos. No matter how he spins his apology today to me he's done irreparable damage. He chose the right word to use on the wrong occasion placing his apology in an entirely incongruous context within our national psyche. He's basically fucked up again. Sorry John if you have been listening and watching us closely you'd have known and understood that governing a country like our's ISN'T JUST ABOUT THE ECONOMY stupid! I watched the debate between Joe Hockey and Julia Gillard today. Ithought Hockey would have done better but he was bordering onpathetic. He read from his notes and lost his place a few times. Gillard beat him hands down. After telling us how much realwages had supposedly increased under Workchoices now he and Howard aretelling us what a marvelous job Workchoices has done in keeping wagesdown. The "Going for Growth" campaign slogan was carefullyhidden by an Australian flag when Howard responded to the interest raterise. They are starting to paint themselves into all sorts of corners eg targeting 3% jobs rate when the interest rate rise will slow the economy and increase unemployment.. For all that they still rate higher thanLabor as economic managers in the polls. There was an economicsprofessor on the 7.30 report tonight who made the interesting pointthat home mortgage repayments as a percentage of income are 5 timeshigher under Howard than they were under Keating. So much for theeconomic managers BS. Of course it was all BS. The interest rate issue was always nonsense but I hope that those people who voted them back in 2004 are now having a good look at themselves... I sure hope they're hurting from the rate rise. That'd be the best anti-Howard vaccine this country could hope for. What a one-trick pony this government is.. and that trick is starting to look wonkier by the day.

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http://ninja6188.vox.com/library/post/sorry-john-its-not-only-about-the-economy-stupid.html?_c=feed-atom

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For the sixth straight time since his re-election in 2004 lending interest rates in Australia have increased. This is despite Johnny Howard's side of politics claiming for ages that under their stewardship interest rates will ALWAYS be at record lows. Fat chance of that assertion having any credibility now! Not that there was much to begin with. But today. Mr Eyebrows himself has felt the need to apologise to all Aussie voters who hurt because of this morning's interest rate increase. No hesitation there at all.. he just took it on himself to say "Sorry". Interest rates are no more under any government's control today anymore than what today's generation of Australians had to do with the episode and other hurts caused to Indigenous Australians in years gone by. However in relation to the latter issue Howard has persistently refused to say "Sorry" despite a major groundswell of support in the Australian population who want reconciliation to happen. About 400,000 people from all backgrounds walked across the Sydney Harbour Bridge in a hugely symbolic gesture in 2000 of wanting to build a bridge to close the gap between black and non-black Australia. There are many of us on Vox who were there at that walk and other similar shows of support across Australia. Howard was nowhere to be seen. Instead of "Sorry" he merely offered his "regrets" for the past. about the economy therefore saying "Sorry" because today's interest rate hike is seen as being more important over everything else, then by voting them back in on November 24 says something about our lack of humanity degradation of our moral compass and Australians just being completely one-dimensional as a people without any hope of redemption. In my heart of hearts, despite how hard-arsed Aussies can sometimes be (because most of us just are). I do not believe we are one-dimensional and definitely not beyond redemption. Johnny Howard's "Sorry" today completely offended me because he keeps claiming to govern for all Australians. By choosing money over our own people - the original people of this land - he has offended not only me but I daresay millions of fair-minded Aussies who still live by the "Fair Go" ethos. No matter how he spins his apology today to me he's done irreparable damage. He chose the right word to use on the wrong occasion placing his apology in an entirely incongruous context within our national psyche. He's basically fucked up again. Sorry John if you have been listening and watching us closely you'd have known and understood that governing a country like our's ISN'T JUST ABOUT THE ECONOMY stupid! I watched the debate between Joe Hockey and Julia Gillard today. Ithought Hockey would have done better but he was bordering onpathetic. He read from his notes and lost his place a few times. Gillard beat him hands down. After telling us how much realwages had supposedly increased under Workchoices now he and Howard aretelling us what a marvelous job Workchoices has done in keeping wagesdown. The "Going for Growth" campaign slogan was carefullyhidden by an Australian flag when Howard responded to the interest raterise. They are starting to paint themselves into all sorts of corners eg targeting 3% jobs rate when the interest rate rise will slow the economy and increase unemployment.. For all that they still rate higher thanLabor as economic managers in the polls. There was an economicsprofessor on the 7.30 report tonight who made the interesting pointthat home mortgage repayments as a percentage of income are 5 timeshigher under Howard than they were under Keating. So much for theeconomic managers BS. Of course it was all BS. The interest rate issue was always nonsense but I hope that those people who voted them back in 2004 are now having a good look at themselves... I sure hope they're hurting from the rate rise. That'd be the best anti-Howard vaccine this country could hope for. What a one-trick pony this government is.. and that trick is starting to look wonkier by the day.

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Related article:
http://ninja6188.vox.com/library/post/sorry-john-its-not-only-about-the-economy-stupid.html?_c=feed-atom

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For the sixth straight time since his re-election in 2004 lending interest rates in Australia have increased. This is despite Johnny Howard's side of politics claiming for ages that under their stewardship interest rates will ALWAYS be at record lows. Fat chance of that assertion having any credibility now! Not that there was much to begin with. But today. Mr Eyebrows himself has felt the need to apologise to all Aussie voters who hurt because of this morning's interest rate increase. No hesitation there at all.. he just took it on himself to say "Sorry". Interest rates are no more under any government's control today anymore than what today's generation of Australians had to do with the episode and other hurts caused to Indigenous Australians in years gone by. However in relation to the latter issue Howard has persistently refused to say "Sorry" despite a major groundswell of support in the Australian population who want reconciliation to happen. About 400,000 people from all backgrounds walked across the Sydney Harbour Bridge in a hugely symbolic gesture in 2000 of wanting to build a bridge to close the gap between black and non-black Australia. There are many of us on Vox who were there at that walk and other similar shows of support across Australia. Howard was nowhere to be seen. Instead of "Sorry" he merely offered his "regrets" for the past. about the economy therefore saying "Sorry" because today's interest rate hike is seen as being more important over everything else, then by voting them back in on November 24 says something about our lack of humanity degradation of our moral compass and Australians just being completely one-dimensional as a people without any hope of redemption. In my heart of hearts, despite how hard-arsed Aussies can sometimes be (because most of us just are). I do not believe we are one-dimensional and definitely not beyond redemption. Johnny Howard's "Sorry" today completely offended me because he keeps claiming to govern for all Australians. By choosing money over our own people - the original people of this land - he has offended not only me but I daresay millions of fair-minded Aussies who still live by the "Fair Go" ethos. No matter how he spins his apology today to me he's done irreparable damage. He chose the right word to use on the wrong occasion placing his apology in an entirely incongruous context within our national psyche. He's basically fucked up again. Sorry John if you have been listening and watching us closely you'd have known and understood that governing a country like our's ISN'T JUST ABOUT THE ECONOMY stupid! I watched the debate between Joe Hockey and Julia Gillard today. Ithought Hockey would have done better but he was bordering onpathetic. He read from his notes and lost his place a few times. Gillard beat him hands down. After telling us how much realwages had supposedly increased under Workchoices now he and Howard aretelling us what a marvelous job Workchoices has done in keeping wagesdown. The "Going for Growth" campaign slogan was carefullyhidden by an Australian flag when Howard responded to the interest raterise. They are starting to paint themselves into all sorts of corners eg targeting 3% jobs rate when the interest rate rise will slow the economy and increase unemployment.. For all that they still rate higher thanLabor as economic managers in the polls. There was an economicsprofessor on the 7.30 report tonight who made the interesting pointthat home mortgage repayments as a percentage of income are 5 timeshigher under Howard than they were under Keating. So much for theeconomic managers BS. Of course it was all BS. The interest rate issue was always nonsense but I hope that those people who voted them back in 2004 are now having a good look at themselves... I sure hope they're hurting from the rate rise. That'd be the best anti-Howard vaccine this country could hope for. What a one-trick pony this government is.. and that trick is starting to look wonkier by the day.

Forex Groups - Tips on Trading

Related article:
http://ninja6188.vox.com/library/post/sorry-john-its-not-only-about-the-economy-stupid.html?_c=feed-atom

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I must be getting very anxious for the start of the season... I am actually looking at exhibition games. I have a good excuse for some of this be crunching -- Villanova played Carleton University of Ottawa over the Labor Day weekend. The Carleton Ravens are swinging through the US themselves taking on Louisville and Providence as move of a pre-season run up to their own collegiate toughen. So I was curious to see how the three Big East teams would fare against common competition. In this pre-season mini round robin it seems Louisville fared beat beating the Ravens by 33 points in Louisville. The pace. 68.9 and ORtg. 117.6 were consistent with out of conference games than exhibition games (where the games are fast and the margins are way far apart) but Louisville's offense was definitely in good form. For each team & game the walk seems to be more consistent with a regular season bet than an exhibition game. Providence plays at a higher rate than either Louisville or Villanova so 71.0 or so is not unusual. The only uncharacteristic walk is Villanova's -- it is too slow. Ottawa sojourners suggested Carleton played very deliberately. But they also observed that the young Wildcats were working hard on the staff's version of the 4-out 1-in communicate offense. That the game only had 62 (or so) possessions is most likely due to a combination of those factors. The Providence offense looks as if it was firing on all cylinders Friday. An offensive rating of 123.3 is about where Georgetown was at the end of last toughen. And with a field goal efficiency of 54.3 the Friars would be hard to defeat. Their turnover rate (turnovers per 100 possesions. TORate in the delay) is troubling but common when teams play at a higher tempo. Louisville's numbers look pretty good too. The Cardinal's PPWS (1.07) looks a little low when compared to their eFG. It suggests they had a rough night at the line ie they got fouled but did not convert consistently (their FT conversion rate was 54.8). Villanova's somewhat sluggish offensive numbers may reflect the early timing of the game (10 days of beat squad learn in August) the composition of the aggroup (5 true & redshirt freshmen) or the year-over-year problem of consistent offense. The composite of the entire weekend is not as bleak as this one game. For all three of the Big East teams these be like mid-season form numbers. Very limited shooting opportunities with tight shot defense (except Providence if the Friars carry that shot defense into the Big East regular toughen they ordain get killed). Louisville had nice numbers across the board. For Villanova the only area of concern might be fouling. The Wildcats are aggressive on offense and defense. Carleton seemed to get to the line a great broach. Providence's offense is definitely ahead of their defense. They maintained a large margin of victory (14 points) largely because of their great offense but also be create Carleton had relatively fewer chances to score. say the 29.0 turnover rate and Carleton's 12.5 OR%. The Friars had 13 steals total with Brian McKenzie grabbing 3 and 3 others garnering 2 apiece. A Providence fan described assign Jeff Xavier as "... PC's best on ball defender since Linehan. His pressure really disrupted (Carleton)...". The Friars' board domination carried over to the defensive boards as come up. If Carleton rebounded 29.0% of their misses the Friars pulled in 71%. An astoundingly high percentage of the defensive rebounds. Some Other Games... Marquette completed their exhibition run with an 83-55 win over Northern State. desire the other 4 games in their pre-season (4 in Canada over fight Day Weekend) the pace (83.7) was decidedly characteristic of an exhibition toughen game. The margin of victory masked a problem or two (and was something of a coming out party for sophomore Lazar Hayward too) mostly in scoring and rebounding.. not enough of either. The Golden Eagle's 42.7 eFG was consistent with the measure two Canadian games. Marquette's margin of victory over Northern express came compliments of 44 FTAs (and FTRate of 71.0 -- when the conference puts Ed Hightower. Paul Janssen and Todd Williams together watch out; their were between the two teams. 46 personal fouls called with 64 free throws) and Northern State's TORate (37.1 -- nearly 4 in 10 possessions were turned over). Marquette had 20 steals. Dwight Burke led with 5 and know thief Jerel McNeal had 4. The scoring adorn was not uniformly bleak however as Lazar Hayward (6-10. 0-1. 5-7. 17) and Wes Matthews (5-7. 0-1. 6-7. 16) had pretty good offensive games. Syracuse defeat St. Rose by 9 in the Carrier Dome. The margin was close in part because the Orange turned the ball over (especially sloppy front court play as the 6 players in the lie court rotation accounted for 17 of the 21 turnovers -- veteran players Harris and Onuaku accounted for 7 between them while freshman Donte Greene had a team-high 5 TOs...) and poor remove impel shooting. Having reached the lie 23 times the Orange converted 12 times. instruct Boeheim used a 9 man rotation none of the 5 starters saw less than 26 minutes. Freshmen Jonny Flynn and Donte Greene started. Greene had 16 points in 33 minutes while Flynn had 10 points. 9 assists (with 1 turnover) in 29 minutes of play. Senior pg Josh Wright was DNP. Rutgers beat Rollie Massimino's Northwood team by 11. 68-57. A good shooting effort (eFG -- 56.5) was undermined by a high turnover rate (28.5). The bet pace about 68 was a little surprising given that Rutgers played at about 61 possessions measure season and Rollie Massimino was a notoriously discuss half-court oriented instruct during his days at Villanova (and UNLV and Cleveland St.). Maybe for these two 68 is "exhibition abstain". Junior pg Anthony Farmer along with junior assign Courtney Nelson started in the back court. Each played over 20 minutes (Farmer -- 22. Nelson -- 28). Freshmen Mike Coburn and Corey Chandler also logged 20+ minutes apiece. Of local (Philadelphia) interest. HS bballer Earl Pettis played 11 minutes for the Scarlet Knights scoring 6 points and gathering 5 rebounds. DeSean color another Philadelphia bballer started for Northwood and scored 15 points and 8 rebounds in 34 minutes. White played a year at Providence and transfered to LaSalle and then Delaware before landing in Northwood.

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http://vbtn.blogspot.com/2007/11/exhibitions-of-interest.html

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I must be getting very anxious for the go away of the season... I am actually looking at exhibition games. I have a good excuse for some of this number crunching -- Villanova played Carleton University of Ottawa over the Labor Day pass. The Carleton Ravens are swinging through the US themselves taking on Louisville and Providence as move of a pre-season run up to their own collegiate season. So I was curious to see how the three Big East teams would go against common competition. In this pre-season mini round robin it seems Louisville fared best beating the Ravens by 33 points in Louisville. The walk. 68.9 and ORtg. 117.6 were consistent with out of conference games than exhibition games (where the games are fast and the margins are way far apart) but Louisville's offense was definitely in good form. For each aggroup & game the pace seems to be more consistent with a regular season bet than an exhibition game. Providence plays at a higher rate than either Louisville or Villanova so 71.0 or so is not unusual. The only uncharacteristic pace is Villanova's -- it is too decrease. Ottawa sojourners suggested Carleton played very deliberately. But they also observed that the young Wildcats were working hard on the cater's version of the 4-out 1-in communicate offense. That the game only had 62 (or so) possessions is most likely due to a combination of those factors. The Providence offense looks as if it was firing on all cylinders Friday. An offensive rating of 123.3 is about where Georgetown was at the end of last toughen. And with a field goal efficiency of 54.3 the Friars would be hard to defeat. Their turnover rate (turnovers per 100 possesions. TORate in the table) is troubling but common when teams play at a higher tempo. Louisville's numbers look pretty good too. The Cardinal's PPWS (1.07) looks a little low when compared to their eFG. It suggests they had a prepare night at the line ie they got fouled but did not convert consistently (their FT conversion rate was 54.8). Villanova's somewhat sluggish offensive numbers may reflect the early timing of the bet (10 days of full squad learn in August) the composition of the aggroup (5 adjust & redshirt freshmen) or the year-over-year problem of consistent offense. The composite of the entire weekend is not as bleak as this one game. For all three of the Big East teams these look desire mid-season create numbers. Very limited shooting opportunities with tight shot defense (except Providence if the Friars bring that shot defense into the Big East regular toughen they will get killed). Louisville had nice numbers across the come in. For Villanova the only area of concern might be fouling. The Wildcats are aggressive on offense and defense. Carleton seemed to get to the line a great deal. Providence's offense is definitely ahead of their defense. They maintained a large margin of victory (14 points) largely because of their great offense but also be create Carleton had relatively fewer chances to advance. say the 29.0 turnover rate and Carleton's 12.5 OR%. The Friars had 13 steals total with Brian McKenzie grabbing 3 and 3 others garnering 2 apiece. A Providence fan described transfer Jeff Xavier as "... PC's best on ball defender since Linehan. His pressure really disrupted (Carleton)...". The Friars' come in domination carried over to the defensive boards as well. If Carleton rebounded 29.0% of their misses the Friars pulled in 71%. An astoundingly high percentage of the defensive rebounds. Some Other Games... Marquette completed their exhibition run with an 83-55 win over Northern State. Like the other 4 games in their pre-season (4 in Canada over Labor Day Weekend) the pace (83.7) was decidedly characteristic of an exhibition season game. The margin of victory masked a problem or two (and was something of a coming out party for sophomore Lazar Hayward too) mostly in scoring and rebounding.. not enough of either. The Golden Eagle's 42.7 eFG was consistent with the measure two Canadian games. Marquette's margin of victory over Northern express came compliments of 44 FTAs (and FTRate of 71.0 -- when the conference puts Ed Hightower. Paul Janssen and Todd Williams together watch out; their were between the two teams. 46 personal fouls called with 64 remove throws) and Northern State's TORate (37.1 -- nearly 4 in 10 possessions were turned over). Marquette had 20 steals. Dwight Burke led with 5 and master thief Jerel McNeal had 4. The scoring landscape was not uniformly bleak however as Lazar Hayward (6-10. 0-1. 5-7. 17) and Wes Matthews (5-7. 0-1. 6-7. 16) had pretty good offensive games. Syracuse beat St. Rose by 9 in the Carrier Dome. The margin was change state in part because the Orange turned the roll over (especially sloppy front court play as the 6 players in the lie act rotation accounted for 17 of the 21 turnovers -- veteran players Harris and Onuaku accounted for 7 between them while freshman Donte Greene had a team-high 5 TOs...) and poor free impel shooting. Having reached the line 23 times the Orange converted 12 times. Coach Boeheim used a 9 man rotation none of the 5 starters saw less than 26 minutes. Freshmen Jonny Flynn and Donte Greene started. Greene had 16 points in 33 minutes while Flynn had 10 points. 9 assists (with 1 turnover) in 29 minutes of play. Senior pg Josh Wright was DNP. Rutgers beat Rollie Massimino's Northwood team by 11. 68-57. A good shooting effort (eFG -- 56.5) was undermined by a high turnover rate (28.5). The bet pace about 68 was a little surprising given that Rutgers played at about 61 possessions measure season and Rollie Massimino was a notoriously discuss half-court oriented instruct during his days at Villanova (and UNLV and Cleveland St.). Maybe for these two 68 is "exhibition fast". Junior pg Anthony Farmer along with junior transfer Courtney Nelson started in the approve court. Each played over 20 minutes (Farmer -- 22. Nelson -- 28). Freshmen Mike Coburn and Corey Chandler also logged 20+ minutes apiece. Of local (Philadelphia) interest. HS bballer Earl Pettis played 11 minutes for the Scarlet Knights scoring 6 points and gathering 5 rebounds. DeSean color another Philadelphia bballer started for Northwood and scored 15 points and 8 rebounds in 34 minutes. White played a year at Providence and transfered to LaSalle and then Delaware before landing in Northwood.

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Related article:
http://vbtn.blogspot.com/2007/11/exhibitions-of-interest.html

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I must be getting very anxious for the go away of the toughen... I am actually looking at exhibition games. I undergo a good excuse for some of this number crunching -- Villanova played Carleton University of Ottawa over the fight Day pass. The Carleton Ravens are swinging through the US themselves taking on Louisville and Providence as part of a pre-season run up to their own collegiate toughen. So I was curious to see how the three Big East teams would fare against common competition. In this pre-season mini round robin it seems Louisville fared beat beating the Ravens by 33 points in Louisville. The pace. 68.9 and ORtg. 117.6 were consistent with out of conference games than exhibition games (where the games are fast and the margins are way far apart) but Louisville's offense was definitely in good form. For each team & game the pace seems to be more consistent with a regular season game than an exhibition game. Providence plays at a higher rate than either Louisville or Villanova so 71.0 or so is not unusual. The only uncharacteristic pace is Villanova's -- it is too decrease. Ottawa sojourners suggested Carleton played very deliberately. But they also observed that the young Wildcats were working hard on the staff's version of the 4-out 1-in motion offense. That the game only had 62 (or so) possessions is most likely due to a combination of those factors. The Providence offense looks as if it was firing on all cylinders Friday. An offensive rating of 123.3 is about where Georgetown was at the end of measure toughen. And with a handle goal efficiency of 54.3 the Friars would be hard to beat. Their turnover rate (turnovers per 100 possesions. TORate in the table) is troubling but common when teams compete at a higher tempo. Louisville's numbers look pretty good too. The Cardinal's PPWS (1.07) looks a little low when compared to their eFG. It suggests they had a prepare night at the line ie they got fouled but did not convert consistently (their FT conversion rate was 54.8). Villanova's somewhat sluggish offensive numbers may designate the early timing of the game (10 days of full squad learn in August) the composition of the team (5 true & redshirt freshmen) or the year-over-year problem of consistent offense. The composite of the entire weekend is not as bleak as this one game. For all three of the Big East teams these look like mid-season form numbers. Very limited shooting opportunities with tight shot defense (object Providence if the Friars bring that shot defense into the Big East regular toughen they will get killed). Louisville had nice numbers across the board. For Villanova the only area of concern might be fouling. The Wildcats are aggressive on offense and defense. Carleton seemed to get to the line a great deal. Providence's offense is definitely ahead of their defense. They maintained a large margin of victory (14 points) largely because of their great offense but also be create Carleton had relatively fewer chances to score. say the 29.0 turnover rate and Carleton's 12.5 OR%. The Friars had 13 steals total with Brian McKenzie grabbing 3 and 3 others garnering 2 apiece. A Providence fan described assign Jeff Xavier as "... PC's best on roll defender since Linehan. His pressure really disrupted (Carleton)...". The Friars' board domination carried over to the defensive boards as well. If Carleton rebounded 29.0% of their misses the Friars pulled in 71%. An astoundingly high percentage of the defensive rebounds. Some Other Games... Marquette completed their exhibition run with an 83-55 win over Northern State. desire the other 4 games in their pre-season (4 in Canada over fight Day Weekend) the pace (83.7) was decidedly characteristic of an exhibition season game. The margin of victory masked a problem or two (and was something of a coming out party for sophomore Lazar Hayward too) mostly in scoring and rebounding.. not enough of either. The Golden shoot's 42.7 eFG was consistent with the measure two Canadian games. Marquette's margin of victory over Northern express came compliments of 44 FTAs (and FTRate of 71.0 -- when the conference puts Ed Hightower. Paul Janssen and Todd Williams together watch out; their were between the two teams. 46 personal fouls called with 64 remove throws) and Northern State's TORate (37.1 -- nearly 4 in 10 possessions were turned over). Marquette had 20 steals. Dwight Burke led with 5 and master thief Jerel McNeal had 4. The scoring landscape was not uniformly bleak however as Lazar Hayward (6-10. 0-1. 5-7. 17) and Wes Matthews (5-7. 0-1. 6-7. 16) had pretty good offensive games. Syracuse defeat St. Rose by 9 in the Carrier Dome. The margin was close in move because the Orange turned the ball over (especially sloppy front court play as the 6 players in the front act rotation accounted for 17 of the 21 turnovers -- veteran players Harris and Onuaku accounted for 7 between them while freshman Donte Greene had a team-high 5 TOs...) and poor free throw shooting. Having reached the lie 23 times the Orange converted 12 times. Coach Boeheim used a 9 man rotation none of the 5 starters saw less than 26 minutes. Freshmen Jonny Flynn and Donte Greene started. Greene had 16 points in 33 minutes while Flynn had 10 points. 9 assists (with 1 turnover) in 29 minutes of play. Senior pg bait Wright was DNP. Rutgers defeat Rollie Massimino's Northwood team by 11. 68-57. A good shooting effort (eFG -- 56.5) was undermined by a high turnover rate (28.5). The game pace about 68 was a little surprising given that Rutgers played at about 61 possessions measure season and Rollie Massimino was a notoriously discuss half-court oriented coach during his days at Villanova (and UNLV and Cleveland St.). Maybe for these two 68 is "exhibition fast". Junior pg Anthony Farmer along with junior assign Courtney Nelson started in the back court. Each played over 20 minutes (Farmer -- 22. Nelson -- 28). Freshmen Mike Coburn and Corey Chandler also logged 20+ minutes apiece. Of local (Philadelphia) interest. HS bballer Earl Pettis played 11 minutes for the Scarlet Knights scoring 6 points and gathering 5 rebounds. DeSean color another Philadelphia bballer started for Northwood and scored 15 points and 8 rebounds in 34 minutes. color played a year at Providence and transfered to LaSalle and then Delaware before landing in Northwood.

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I must be getting very anxious for the start of the season... I am actually looking at exhibition games. I undergo a good forgive for some of this number crunching -- Villanova played Carleton University of Ottawa over the fight Day pass. The Carleton Ravens are swinging through the US themselves taking on Louisville and Providence as part of a pre-season run up to their own collegiate season. So I was curious to see how the three Big East teams would fare against common competition. In this pre-season mini go robin it seems Louisville fared best beating the Ravens by 33 points in Louisville. The pace. 68.9 and ORtg. 117.6 were consistent with out of conference games than exhibition games (where the games are fast and the margins are way far apart) but Louisville's offense was definitely in good form. For each team & bet the walk seems to be more consistent with a regular toughen game than an exhibition bet. Providence plays at a higher rate than either Louisville or Villanova so 71.0 or so is not unusual. The only uncharacteristic walk is Villanova's -- it is too decrease. Ottawa sojourners suggested Carleton played very deliberately. But they also observed that the young Wildcats were working hard on the cater's version of the 4-out 1-in motion offense. That the game only had 62 (or so) possessions is most likely due to a combination of those factors. The Providence offense looks as if it was firing on all cylinders Friday. An offensive rating of 123.3 is about where Georgetown was at the end of last season. And with a field goal efficiency of 54.3 the Friars would be hard to beat. Their turnover rate (turnovers per 100 possesions. TORate in the table) is troubling but common when teams play at a higher tempo. Louisville's numbers look pretty good too. The Cardinal's PPWS (1.07) looks a little low when compared to their eFG. It suggests they had a rough night at the lie ie they got fouled but did not convert consistently (their FT conversion rate was 54.8). Villanova's somewhat sluggish offensive numbers may reflect the early timing of the game (10 days of full squad learn in August) the composition of the team (5 true & redshirt freshmen) or the year-over-year problem of consistent offense. The composite of the entire weekend is not as bleak as this one game. For all three of the Big East teams these look desire mid-season form numbers. Very limited shooting opportunities with tight shot defense (object Providence if the Friars bring that shot defense into the Big East regular season they will get killed). Louisville had nice numbers across the come in. For Villanova the only area of concern might be fouling. The Wildcats are aggressive on offense and defense. Carleton seemed to get to the lie a great broach. Providence's offense is definitely ahead of their defense. They maintained a large margin of victory (14 points) largely because of their great offense but also be create Carleton had relatively fewer chances to advance. Note the 29.0 turnover rate and Carleton's 12.5 OR%. The Friars had 13 steals total with Brian McKenzie grabbing 3 and 3 others garnering 2 apiece. A Providence fan described transfer Jeff Xavier as "... PC's best on roll defender since Linehan. His compel really disrupted (Carleton)...". The Friars' board domination carried over to the defensive boards as come up. If Carleton rebounded 29.0% of their misses the Friars pulled in 71%. An astoundingly high percentage of the defensive rebounds. Some Other Games... Marquette completed their exhibition run with an 83-55 win over Northern State. Like the other 4 games in their pre-season (4 in Canada over fight Day Weekend) the walk (83.7) was decidedly characteristic of an exhibition season game. The margin of victory masked a problem or two (and was something of a coming out celebrate for sophomore Lazar Hayward too) mostly in scoring and rebounding.. not enough of either. The Golden Eagle's 42.7 eFG was consistent with the last two Canadian games. Marquette's margin of victory over Northern State came compliments of 44 FTAs (and FTRate of 71.0 -- when the conference puts Ed Hightower. Paul Janssen and Todd Williams together check out; their were between the two teams. 46 personal fouls called with 64 remove throws) and Northern express's TORate (37.1 -- nearly 4 in 10 possessions were turned over). Marquette had 20 steals. Dwight bump off led with 5 and master thief Jerel McNeal had 4. The scoring landscape was not uniformly bleak however as Lazar Hayward (6-10. 0-1. 5-7. 17) and Wes Matthews (5-7. 0-1. 6-7. 16) had pretty good offensive games. Syracuse defeat St. Rose by 9 in the Carrier Dome. The margin was change state in part because the Orange turned the roll over (especially sloppy lie court play as the 6 players in the front court rotation accounted for 17 of the 21 turnovers -- veteran players Harris and Onuaku accounted for 7 between them while freshman Donte Greene had a team-high 5 TOs...) and poor free throw shooting. Having reached the line 23 times the Orange converted 12 times. Coach Boeheim used a 9 man rotation none of the 5 starters saw less than 26 minutes. Freshmen Jonny Flynn and Donte Greene started. Greene had 16 points in 33 minutes while Flynn had 10 points. 9 assists (with 1 turnover) in 29 minutes of compete. Senior pg Josh Wright was DNP. Rutgers beat Rollie Massimino's Northwood aggroup by 11. 68-57. A good shooting effort (eFG -- 56.5) was undermined by a high turnover rate (28.5). The game pace about 68 was a little surprising given that Rutgers played at about 61 possessions measure toughen and Rollie Massimino was a notoriously deliberate half-court oriented coach during his days at Villanova (and UNLV and Cleveland St.). Maybe for these two 68 is "exhibition abstain". Junior pg Anthony Farmer along with junior transfer Courtney Nelson started in the back court. Each played over 20 minutes (Farmer -- 22. Nelson -- 28). Freshmen Mike Coburn and Corey Chandler also logged 20+ minutes apiece. Of local (Philadelphia) interest. HS bballer Earl Pettis played 11 minutes for the Scarlet Knights scoring 6 points and gathering 5 rebounds. DeSean White another Philadelphia bballer started for Northwood and scored 15 points and 8 rebounds in 34 minutes. White played a year at Providence and transfered to LaSalle and then Delaware before landing in Northwood.

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The US dollar is in a full-fledged rout. It's trading at historic lows against every major currency object the Japanese yen and against a transport of minor currencies as well. Dollar-prices for commodities like oil and gold are at record highs. Dollar weakness is an expected consequence of the Federal Reserve's two recent cuts in its benchmark short-term interest rate. But dollar sentiment around the world has become extraordinarily contradict over the past week or so and First some numbers. This morning the dollar reached lows of nearly $1.47 against the euro. $2.09 against sterling. $1.10 against the Canadian loonie. The yen strengthened to below 114 and the Chinese yuan touched 7.44 from 7.47 at the beginning of the week. The Aussie dollar and the Norwegian krone also strengthened against the greenback about which more later. The basic story here is really rather simple. As an asset the dollar has become less attractive because of lower interest rates and perceived poor economic fundamentals in the US. (The latter is label for "everyone thinks the reduction in housing values is going to cause a recession.") In addition huge writedowns in securities backed by US home-mortgages are causing pain in portfolios all over the world. Many of these securities are denominated in US dollars. There's no place for these assets to go since there's no liquid secondary merchandise for them (and there never has been so that's not a distress signal in itself). But holders of mortgage-backs face pressure to increase reserves against their losses and they do so by selling other dollar-denominated assets. One of the most basic features of financial markets is momentum. The old cliche' is that it makes as much sense to buck a trending market as it does to stand in front of a runaway freight train. And so you get stories like the one from China (quoted in the bind I linked above). Cheng Siwei a senior legislative official came out and said that China would be diversifying its foreign exchange holdings away from dollars and into stronger currencies. Now Cheng has a reputation as a loose hit and the People's National Congress is not involved in China's monetary policymaking. His statement probably has more surprise value than anything else. That's because China has already been doing what he says since about the beginning of the year. They have already reduced their holdings of long-dated US Treasury debt to about $400 billion. That's not a big change from where it was but the direction is what matters. China no longer participates in auctions of new Treasury debt as much as they used to. They also have a $200 billion "sovereign wealth fund," which is increasingly seeking new investments not in dollars. This is an interesting kind of a vehicle. It's basically a sterilization fund where countries that make too much money park it so it won't cause too much domestic inflation. (Norway with its huge revenues from oil exports also has one. Hugo Chavez needs one but he's not cause to be perceived enough to experience that.) Speaking of oil that's another big part of the dollar momentum story. We've had a few discussions about this on RedState lately and I've made the point that speculative buying of crude oil futures is distorting the market for that commodity. Such buying is largely a response to dollar weakness (and the anticipation of further weakness). As we get advance into the week. I'm hearing a lot of people affirm this believe and I'm basically convinced of it now. Oil will probably hit $100 in the near-term and may go considerably higher. Another thing that has changed recently: I see a consensus forming among business people that Hillary Clinton will be the next President of the United States. That's not news. However the sentiment is also growing that her regime will seriously damage the US economy in absolute terms and in terms of our global competitiveness. Practical result: some people are scaling back their growth projections (and their investment plans) for 2009 and beyond. The oddest and most striking thing about the current dollar trend is inflation. You can't back up seeing that inflation is anywhere from a serious concern (continental Europe) to a blazing inferno (China). Except in the United States. The US. Japan and perhaps the UK are the only major economies in the world with no significant inflation in evidence. (I'm discounting US food-price inflation which is partly driven by government ethanol policy. Japan is simply on the floor economically with almost no dynamism except in their export sector.) Australia. Norway. India. Russia and many others have serious inflation issues that are causing them to raise interest rates which adds comfort more downward compel to the dollar. And oil-states that don't actually undergo economies desire Saudi Arabia are feeling the pain in a different way. Since most of them peg their domestic currencies to the dollar they now have way too much money as come up. They're seriously considering diversifying reserves out of dollars too. Because the global economy is tightly integrated with the American one the effects of dollar weakness are being transmitted like plague to every other economy. We're exporting inflationary compel instead of experiencing it at domiciliate and it's possible that this is the cause not the prove of higher interest rates abroad. It's a ameliorate storm. The broad question we have to ask is: will the dollar find a floor or are we in the lay of a desire trend that ordain fundamentally re-align trade flows around the world? At this point all I can do is pose the question. I undergo to adjudge I don't know the answer. If you've been around markets at all you know that they will always surprise you. If we get an unexpected improvement in the US economic outlook the resulting firmer interest rates will probably stop the dollar's decline in the near term at least. But the center of gravity in the global economy is marching south and east. As the largest economy in the world we're still the most important player in the global game and will be for a long time to go. However we're no longer the most dynamic. The American business world which is extremely good at adapting to changing conditions will have a lot of adapting to do. We're now in the early stages of a secular transformation that in its scale and impact will match the Industrial Revolution and the late-19th Century exodus from farms to cities. We have a bunch of Wall Street banks and brokerages caught in an incredible credit ponzi scheme and it's costing them billions of dollars in writeoffs and none of them experience anythinng about the instruments they had on their books. Take that with the Federal keep back anxious to try and bail them out refusing to adjudge there's any inflation in the economy (I have no roll where they live) and hence relying on questionable goverment statistics (try and defend the CPI calculation). Just comprehending that what confidence would you have in the US dollar? Based on what I'm seeing with the currency traders not very much and they experience a moment of "irrational exhumberance" when they see it and they're taking advantage of it. Sit tight it's not over. says we're already having inflation. It's not in the form of increasing the currency supply but it's the same effect. Some things that used to cost $100 now cost significantly more. My take is that the Fed is trying to avoid a recession by devaluating the dollar (through low interest rates). This doesn't seem like a workable strategy in the long term due to capital flight which is what's being illustrated in the OP. Too much of this and I fear we'll get Carter's wondrous combination of recession AND inflation. If everyone thinks the dollar is going to collapse that suggests that it will soon turn around. Similarly if everyone thinks that the determine of oil has nowhere to go but up that suggests that the oil bubble is about to burst. Neither suggestion is more than a suggestion but sometimes the mere fact that everyone is betting the same way suggests that they're all wrong. I desire looking in a contrarian view too but if you are contrarian too early (i fight that all the measure) that hurts as much as being too late. It's a puzzle of human psychology. When ordain the critical mass of humans go away seeing the risk/reward of being long go away to mind them. When the market goes up the talking heads highlight the positive causes when the merchandise goes down they bring out the negative news when in fact both exist in some proportion all the time. If I could unlock the thought process and psychology of the herd I'd own the world ;) Don't mind it won't come about but if I did the world would be a better place w/ me as dictator ;) As an equity trader. I am well aware of the factor momentum can play. However the most glaring attribute of momentum in my experience is that those who displace trades based upon it almost always seem to get burned in the end especially after the momentum has become readily apparent. Witness the Internet breathe real estate bubble etc. While I undergo never played in the currency markets(aside from making some crude calculations on equities that trade in multiple international markets to determine where certain equities should open based upon their closing prices in foriegn markets) it would seem to me that the current dollar weakness has already made the majority of its act being that the Euro has nearly doubled in determine against the dollar in the last few years. Anytime you see non-financial types talking about making a financial move based upon what they've heard in the news as in the recent Gisele Bündchen story it's virtually guaranteed that the end of the run is come - if I remember correctly. Joe Kennedy dumped all his stocks shortly before the come down in 1929 because his shoe-shine guy asked him about stocks and Joe's reasoning was. "if this guy is thinking about buying stocks who is left to drive the price higher". Thus my bet would be that the dollar finds a surprise relatively soon. So what are the effects if everyone panics and dumps the dollar? If that happens - the US just sold high and bought low(in terms of bond pricing) yields change state more attractive to both foreign and domestic investors attracting dollar investments strengthening the dollar. In addition aren't US companies throwing off record earnings in relation to sales? What are they doing with it - it seems that most of them are sitting on it currently realizing that it doesn't make sense to invest elsewhere in the world with the transfer rate so unfavorable. Also something to think about is Andy Kessler's(I think it was him anyway) point from a while approve - our change deficit doesn't matter because that's merely a revenue measure what really matters is profits. For instance take the Chinese firm that puts together DVD players - a US affiliate may sell them the chips to decode the DVDs at $5/chip which has a marginal cost for the US tighten of a couple of cents per chip so the US company earns(or adds that amount of value to) $4.95/DVD player. The Chinese firm has to buy all the components to put it together(not necessarily from US companies) and lets say it costs them $38 in parts wages and shipping to the US and no other US company sold them any other parts. What does the deficit look like in that inspect - the US sold $5 worth of parts to get a DVD player that comes approve to the US at $40 wholesale - so the trade deficit looks awful from our standpoint but China is facing the bigger "profit deficit". Who got the better end of the deal? In my opinion the US did - we added the most value to that transaction. Plus by essentially pegging the Chinese currency to the dollar so as to alter the sale to us(by keeping their goods cheap) there is an inflation cost incurred by China which doesn't matter in the US. Concerning your China-trade example how you tend to look at this depends on whether you acquire wages or profits. On the profit side the reason the US companies had commanded most of the profits was because we provided the intellectual property - the chips and software that give the product value. That situation has changed for many if not most such products. The DVD example is almost universally no longer adjust. The chips go from Japanese. Korean or more often now. Taiwanese suppliers and the products are designed in China. (I just happen to undergo one such DVD player open on my desk and there is virtually adjust US content - something I undergo the experience to experience). Without the profit side the trade flow does start to matter. It would be interesting to see data on the profit flow today. I evaluate it would confirm that the flow of real money is changing. They're very well aware however that this is an Achilles angle because their labor is no longer the cheapest in East Asia not by a long way. And that's the reason they persist in keeping the yuan undervalued. They're going all out to change this dynamic and I've heard they're making surprisingly fast develop. What they want is to start doing component assembly themselves instead of importing components from Korea. Taiwan. Singapore the US etc. I accept the yuan/dollar exchange rate is the tea leaf to read. If the yuan starts appreciating faster you'll experience the Chinese are getting more confident about their position in the value chain. adjust enough that my original example(DVD players) probably doesn't bear on to the current state of affairs of assembling DVD players. However it still seems that the profits taken out of Chinese manufacturing generally increase to those outside of China - whether it be raw materials sold to China or profits made on selling the Chinese goods bought at sell elsewhere. Wages of cover are a different be but with the current unemployment rates in the US it would be hard to definitively argue that China is taking more jobs here than it is creating(anecdotal bear witness doesn't carry much weight although that's what everyone cites). I too would desire to see data on the acquire move. Specifically how much is China cutting approve on investments in T-bonds & T-bills. Assuming it has slowed drink to a large degree would this be due to China's economy slowing down because they wanted to alter or what? Assuming the following about the recent past:* China kept the dollar pegged closely to the yuan in order to provide stability for their exports and to keep them be competitive with other Pacific Rim countries.* China has experience higher than normal inflation.* Publicly-traded(and perhaps all) US companies have experienced record profits in the recent past* China has invested heavily in dollar-denominated assets.* US companies currently undergo large change hordes due to the record profits. I am a little rusty on my international econ and there are surely more factors at bring home the bacon here but wouldn't it follow that the dollar peg helped act the inflation in China and their investments in dollar-denominated assets specifically bonds had an cause upon the earnings of US companies due to cheap money and relatively good investment opportunities with relation to their borrowing costs? Apparently the investment opportunities for US companies aren't quite what they were in the recent past(whether in the US or abroad) as they have largely decided to sit on the cash. What happens if a recession starts in the US which seems to be conventional wisdom amongst the media? Do the Chinese dump all their dollar-denominated assets? If so wouldn't that shoot themselves in the foot? Where do they put the dollars they just sold? It would be foolish to try and impel them at their own economy exacerbating inflation and making their products more expensive to US consumers. Do they put them in the European nations or Japan or wherever else? This would cause the dollar to change state further but the money would likely find itself quickly back into dollars as the investment opportunities in the US would likely be greater than those found in Europe/lacquer/elsewhere due to the dollar being so cheap relatively. Also as oil sales are denominated in dollars the weak dollar causes oil to be much cheaper to those abroad causing our oil prices to change magnitude more than otherwise and makes energy-intensive industries more sensible to operate abroad. Just create by mental act what oil would cost in Europe if the Euro was still.85/$... For some reason given the conventional wisdom and my penchant for contrary thinking. I get the feeling that this is somehow going to end up causing a mild recession here and a bigger recession in Europe - just a feeling. I'm not going to clarify. . the one they run against us. They're not about to dump $1.43 trillion in dollar reserves for the reason you furnish which is that there would be no displace for the dollars to go. That's more a question of size than of quality however. Like any commodity risk-free debt is affect to substitution when it gets too expensive as US Treasuries undergo change state. There are very similar assets out there that you can buy if you don't want to buy Treasuries. Central bankers are by nature extremely conservative and risk-averse people. They hate to do anything fast. China's bankers are all of that plus they undergo the added financial conservatism of Chinese people generally. They are definitely diversifying their exposure to the dollar but you won't see fire sales of dollar assets held by China. Instead they will no longer buying as much of our new debt as they have in the past. Over time they wish this ordain give them a much better rate of return on their keep back portfolio. There is already a lot of evidence that the slowdown in the US is affecting China. One recent communicate (among many) is the end in the price of copper of which China is the world's largest consumer. The Eurozone is facing a very difficult policy dilemma. They really would like to raise interest rates and were planning to until the credit crisis struck in August. They undergo a lot of inflation especially in Germany. But they can't raise rates now that ascribe impairment around the world is threatening a slowdown. So they're stuck in a box. Us lowering our interest rates raises the euro sharply which makes Europe's position all the more difficult. As I said in the OP we're exporting inflationary compel all over the world without experiencing any ourselves. It's really an odd situation. Trying to call a furnish is the hardest thing in finance. Sometimes you think. "This has to be it!!! It can't go any lower!" only to see it an asset do exactly that. I've been in foreign stocks and foreign currencies for three years. I undergo zero savings in dollars. None. Zippo. My family in Europe holds only Euro assets at this point. I'm not talking about trying to "catch a falling injure" just saying that when the common wisdom says one thing look out for the opposite to be happen - ie start watching for a bottom when everyone knows XYZ is going to come about... I like you have had a good portion of my retirement savings in foreign stocks currently and I allocated it that way when it was common knowledge that the Euro was going to adjust. I am contemplating switching it back into domestic investments shortly based upon the current conventional wisdom. I may be wrong in the short-term but long-term. I think it'll be hard to be completely wrong. A few years approve when I was working for a large brokerage tighten. I probably would've thought about going short the VIX although I probably wouldn't have done it at these levels probably more like high 30s or higher. I used to have the balls to make my superiors very nervous however now that I'm the boss no thanks! Contrarianism is just a useful way to build up a "watchlist" in my mind. My biggest trades undergo always been buying stocks when everyone hates them(and there isn't much downside left) and selling them when everyone loves them. Also regarding the Heritage piece - do you have any stats on what it costs to hive away business taxes versus what the collections are? I recall hearing a while approve that the difference between the two was something less than $100 billion(federally anyway). Thus you would evaluate that with the proper education of the electorate a politician should be able to alter the inspect that the proper tax rate for business is 0%. Of cover everyone thinks that they're screwing the executives of the business by taxing them when really they're just screwing themselves - perhaps the way to go about it would be to compete the 'class warfare' game to a certain degree and say. "let's furnish the corporate tax lawyers and corporate accountants something productive to do". I've had a change posture for some time that volatility is systemically underpriced in periods of low volatility and vice versa. The intuition is confirmed by the fact that if you plan real asset prices against a stochastic random walk the "tails" in the real data are always fatter than in the theoretical data. And if I'm right the inefficiencies are likely to be larger (and more exploitable) in specific assets rather than in a broad measure like VIX. Business profits: you're making a different inform from taxes on exports but there's no question to me that taxes on business profits should be zero. A corporation can't consume its own profits. They ordain always be distributed before they can be consumed. Those distributions are already taxed now so it's stupid to tax twice. If (as with the Democrats) your goal is to make sure that everyone ends up with about the same be of material wellbeing as everyone else then taxing business profits heavily is pretty smart. The American people have to decide between equality and prosperity. Since in this election cycle the Democrats are selling equality and the Republicans aren't selling anything it's an easy bet which will win. The Heritage conjoin you linked is a brief editorial light on analysis but the authors do touch on one extremely interesting point: in addition to overtaxing capital and savings the Federal government goes out of its way to make exports more costly by taxing them in ways that our trading partners do not. It turns out that the economics of export/merchandise taxation is an extremely complicated affect and I'm not mathematical enough to describe it. (Ironically one of the key experts in the field is Paul Krugman who's a pretty smart and accomplished guy when he's not being a tendentious left-wing gasbag.) But the furnish lie is that tax and regulatory policy combine to make it more logical for American companies to drop overseas rather than here. And of course the inevitable result is that other countries ordain "borrow" (Alan Greenspan's euphemism for steal) our technology. And as I pointed out in the OP it now looks like the American populate will undergo the bad taste to elect more Democrats next year. We're going very much in the do by direction. Instead of more self-defeating economic populism we be some pro-business leadership. Hopefully it will only take four years of President Hillary Clinton not eight to make Americans understand where their own self-interest lies. Prosperity for the masses comes not from the government but from the economic engine that is America. Or at least that's how I remember life long ago. When I first started traveling to China and manufacturing products there soon to be 20 years ago. I found state of the art automated electronic assembly equipment even in small companies. Things you found only in the largest and most specialized companies stateside. The reason? The didn't buy them. The government did. (Actually the PLA in some cases). They didn't pay for them up front. They didn't depreciate them. They were either provided no rush or pay-as-you-go. There was no way American companies could compete with that even before you took fight into account. I don't know how it's done today. I don't travel there anymore. But it's an example of how the playing field wasn't level. The reference to taxation of exports is another example. So. GOP candidate of choice (as if there was one) we be a level playing field for American business large and small. While we are on this subject does anyone cognise that much of the modern weaponry that we now depend on is based on technology that we merchandise from other countries? There was a day before I started traveling to Asia where I designed military electronics. There was a simple rule. If it wasn't made in the US and approved for military use you couldn't design it in. Today that command is impossible because many of the components just are not made here any more. This is a national security air. Another burden on American business. Healthcare. I know I'm opening a can of worms here but it's a BIG problem. I don't have an answer. Neither does Hillary. But somehow somewhere we have to address it. Otherwise bequeath the book (and movie) Logan's Run. We'll either all die trying to understand this.. or only those over 30. Next on my soapbox... BALANCE THE calculate. I experience.."Deficits don't matter". I know "it's being paid for by foreigners". I know.."it's a debt to ourselves". What I really experience is it's irresponsible. I know that it's necessary at times to run a deficit (war crisis big Lousianna purchases etc.) But attach my words some day it will go to call. I don't want to leave that to my children to fix. Somewhere else here I think I wrote about oil one of the big topics from the blackhedd's OP. Another national security issue but since we eat 30% of the worlds oil exports not one that's going away anytime soon. We are by far the world's largest importer of oil and the most at risk because of it from a security comprehend and a financial one. Our ability to marshal amazing economic strength helped us win WWII. We won the cold war with economics. We turned Communist China from our Indochinese adversary to #1 trading furnish with economics. It has been the most powerful weapon in our arsenal. We need leadership that knows how to use it.

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